In the short to medium term the ek9 is going to DEPRECIATE in price. Fact. you only need to look at the for sale section to add credence to this. Rare as the car is, plenty are up for sale at any one time, and some have been sitting there for quite a while.
The one that have sold fast are the ones whose price refects a REALISTIC market value for the car.
Indeed, if you want a clean import, then it will cost more, but people are getting this confused with exampes that are already in the country. The strength of the pound to the yen is still at an historic low and this is evident accross the spectrum of imports, NOT just the ek9.
Just because its 8k to import a nice one, DOES NOT mean your one that has been here a couple years is worth that.
Next, there is a little game of sheep going on here, or to put it another way, a cartel. There is alot of influence on how the cars should be priced when owners sell up, and it only takes one to lead and the rest will follow. Its skewing the market.
the disparity between the ek9 and dc2 in terms of pricing is evident, and that people consider an ek9 to be twice the car of a dc2, well, it speaks for
itself.
and finally, on to the last point in relation to the question. Regardless of what it is, its still a small cheap hatchback, always has been, all be it a very good one, and there is no getting away from that and so there is only so far the market will stretch to accomidate high prices.
Now, the specuation. The ae86 corrola is a good eample, but so is the escort cosworth and the old mk1 and mk2 escorts,along with a swathe of other fairly low volume production iconic cars. The EG6 SIR-S is another case in point, but you dont see them priced much higher than the standard SIR or SIR2, and yet THE SIR-S may well be one of the rarest cars honda has produced over the last 20 years. I stand to be corrected of course.
The ek9 will inevitibly get more rare, but even if it does, it wont ever fetch the kind of prices we are seing today for perhaps another 10 years. It would have to become exceedingly rare and exceedingly sought after, neither of which i can see happening to be honest as many potential buyes will settle for the cheaper and nearly(VERY COMPREBLE) as good ek4.
For those that think im on some sort of tirade against the car, or the owners, well, **** you, becase I have wanted on of these for a long time, 5 years plus now i think, and in fact came fairly close to buying one earlier this year, and I know how good they are, I have plenty of knowledge about them, but for now I just cannot justify the price.